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FLOOD WATCH
CTZ002>004-MAZ002>021-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>007-150500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
452 PM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004

...THE FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT SUNDAY EVENING.
THE WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING AREAS...

IN RHODE ISLAND...
BRISTOL...EASTERN KENT...NEWPORT...NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE...SOUTHEAST
PROVIDENCE...WASHINGTON AND WESTERN KENT.

IN MASSACHUSETTS...
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY...EASTERN ESSEX...EASTERN FRANKLIN...EASTERN
HAMPDEN...EASTERN HAMPSHIRE...EASTERN NORFOLK...EASTERN PLYMOUTH...
NORTHERN BRISTOL...NORTHERN WORCESTER...NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN BRISTOL...SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH...SOUTHERN
WORCESTER...SUFFOLK...WESTERN ESSEX...WESTERN FRANKLIN...WESTERN
HAMPDEN...WESTERN HAMPSHIRE...WESTERN NORFOLK AND WESTERN PLYMOUTH.

IN NEW HAMPSHIRE...
CHESHIRE...EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH.

IN CONNECTICUT...
HARTFORD...TOLLAND AND WINDHAM.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. AS
TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY MOVES THROUGH. AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE
LIKELY...WITH LOCALIZED 4 TO 5 INCH AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE CONNECTICUT AND MERRIMACK RIVER VALLEYS. THIS
RAINFALL MAY CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALLER RIVERS AND STREAMS.

BASED ON THE LATEST TRACK FOR CHARLEY...THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL SHOULD
OCCUR ACROSS THE CONNECTICUT AND MERRIMACK RIVER VALLEYS WHICH WILL
LIE ALONG AND JUST WEST OF THE STORM TRACK. RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3
INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS THIS AREA WITH LOCALIZED 4 TO 5 INCHES
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN THE UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE WORCESTER HILLS AND
MONADNOCKS.

TO THE EAST...ACROSS RHODE ISLAND AND EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

ANY SHIFT IN THE STORM TRACK TO THE EAST WOULD MOVE THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL INTO THE BLACKSTONE...PAWTUXET...CHARLES AND MYSTIC RIVER
BASINS WHICH RECEIVED 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODS. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO
FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

$$

DRV




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HURRICANE STATEMENT
MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-CTZ002>004-NHZ011-012-015-ANZ230>237-250-
254>255-150700-

TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1105 PM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004

...TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY BACK OVER THE WATER BUT CONTINUING TO
WEAKEN...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR PEOPLE IN SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND FOR THE
MARINE COMMUNITY FOR THE WATERS OFF OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE
ISLAND.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND COAST FROM WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND TO THE MOUTH OF THE
MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS.

A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY FOR ALL OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND EXCEPT CAPE COD...MARTHAS VINEYARD...NANTUCKET
AND BLOCK ISLAND.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM...TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY WAS JUST OFF THE VIRIGNIA COAST OR
APPROXIMATELY 350 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MARTHAS VINEYARD. IT WAS
CONTINUING TO ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

METEOROLOGICALLY...CHARLEY HAS BEGUN TO TRANSITION TO AN
EXTRATROPICAL STORM. THIS MEANS THAT THE STORM HAS BEGUN TO LINK UP
WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM AND THAT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NO LONGER
PRESENT NEAR THE CENTER. HOWEVER...TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS TO
40 MPH OR MORE HAVE BEEN OBSERVED AT THE CHESAPEAKE BAY BRIDGE
BETWEEN 9 AND 10 PM AND A 64 MPH GUST FROM THE SOUTHWEST OCCURRED AT
ELIZABETH CITY NORTH CAROLINA AFTER THE STORM PASSED THERE SHORTLY
BEFORE 7 PM.

THE PROJECTED PATH OF CHARLEY CONTINUES TO SHIFT EASTWARD AND IT NOW
IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NEAR NANTUCKET SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK.
SEE BELOW FOR SPECIFIC IMPACTS OF THIS NEW TRACK.

...WIND IMPACTS...
WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE...OF 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITH ISOLATED
GUSTS TO 45 TO 50 KNOTS...ARE POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH OF THE
TRACK...WHICH IS MAINLY OVER NANTUCKET ISLAND AND THE COASTAL WATERS
SURROUNDING SOUTHEASTERNMOST MASSACHUSETTS AND THE WATERS OFF THE
COAST OF RHODE ISLAND. THEY WOULD MOST LIKELY OCCUR BETWEEN 5 AM
AND 9 AM IN THE MORNING AND MAY BE STRONGEST FROM THE SOUTH OR
SOUTHWEST. WINDS SHOULD BE MAINLY FROM THE NORTHEAST FROM PLYMOUTH
NORTHWARD...BECOMING NORTHWEST BY LATE MORNING. SPEEDS SHOULD BE
CONSIDERABLY LESS...BUT SOME GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS ARE STILL POSSIBLE.
WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH RAPIDLY BY LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
LARGE SEAS AND ROUGH SURF WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE SOUTH COAST THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEAS OF 4 TO 8 FEET WILL CONTINUE IN
PORTIONS OF OUR SOUTH COASTAL WATERS. THESE BREAKERS UPON REACHING
THE COASTAL BEACHES WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
CAPABLE OF HARMING EVEN THE MOST EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS.

A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET SHOULD OCCUR ALONG THE SOUTH
COAST...AND ON THE UPPER PORTIONS OF BUZZARDS AND NARRAGANSETT BAYS
AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE SUNDAY MORNING. PEOPLE LIVING ALONG THE
LOWEST LYING AREAS OF COASTAL RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTH COASTAL
MASSACHUSETTS MAY SEE SOME SPLASHOVER AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE
SUNDAY MORNING.

...RIVER AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD IMPACTS...
AT 11 PM...RAIN WAS SPREADING INTO SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT. IT WILL
CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD ALL OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY 1 AM. THE
RAIN WILL BE MODERATE TO HEAVY THROUGH 5 OR 6 AM. RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 1 TO AS MUCH AS 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.
IF RAINFALL WERE TO EXCEED 3 INCHES...IT WOULD BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING SHARP RISES ON SMALLER RIVERS AND STREAMS...POSSIBLY
CAUSING THEM TO RISE OUT OF THEIR BANKS SUNDAY MORNING. URBAN AND
POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...BUT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED.

IT APPEARS THAT THE RAIN WILL CUT OFF QUICKLY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
AROUND DAYBREAK. ALL RAIN SHOULD BE OVER WITH BY MID MORNING SUNDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE MAIN THREATS FROM THIS STORM WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER
INLAND AREAS AND STRONG WIND GUSTS OVER THE SOUTHERN COASTAL WATERS.
DRIVERS SHOULD NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVERSE FLOODED ROADWAYS. BOATERS
SHOULD ALREADY BE IN PORT.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON PREPAREDNESS MEASURES FOR BOTH COASTAL AND
INLAND RESIDENTS WILL BE CONTAINED IN PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS
/BOSPNSBOX/ THAT WILL BE ISSUED DURING THIS STORM THREAT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT ON CHARLEY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TAUNTON AROUND 3 AM.

$$
FIELD
 
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